Share of the labor force that is jobless and actively looking.
Read alongside NFP; a rising rate is one of the most reliable recession warnings there is.
Usual market effect. Actual above forecast is typically BAD for the dollar — higher readings signal weakness here.
| Release | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 2026-10-02 | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | Bullish |
| Sep 2026 2026-09-04 | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | In line |
| Aug 2026 2026-08-07 | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | Bearish |
| Jul 2026 2026-07-02 | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | Bearish |
| Jul 2026 2026-07-01 | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | Bearish |
| Jun 2026 2026-06-05 | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | In line |
| May 2026 2026-05-08 | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | In line |
| Apr 2026 2026-04-03 | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | Bearish |
| Mar 2026 2026-03-06 | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | Bullish |
| Feb 2026 2026-02-11 | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | Bearish |
| Jan 2026 2026-01-09 | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | Bearish |
| Jan 2026 2026-01-08 | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | Bearish |
| Dec 2025 2025-12-16 | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | Bullish |
| Dec 2025 2025-12-15 | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | Bullish |
| Nov 2025 2025-11-20 | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | Bullish |
| Sep 2025 2025-09-05 | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | In line |
| Aug 2025 2025-08-01 | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | In line |
| Jul 2025 2025-07-03 | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | Bearish |
| Jun 2025 2025-06-06 | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | In line |
| May 2025 2025-05-02 | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | In line |
| Apr 2025 2025-04-04 | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | Bullish |
| Mar 2025 2025-03-07 | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | Bullish |
| Feb 2025 2025-02-07 | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | Bearish |
| Jan 2025 2025-01-10 | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | Bearish |
| Dec 2024 2024-12-06 | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | In line |
| Nov 2024 2024-11-01 | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | In line |
“Read” is Tape Desk's own bullish/bearish call on how the surprise usually lands for US stock indexes. It is a rule of thumb, not advice.
Tape Desk puts the US economic calendar next to a live market-moving news tape, so you see the actual the second it prints instead of refreshing a calendar page. High-impact releases fire an alert 15 minutes ahead and again on release.