Also known as Gross Domestic Product, GDP First Release (Advance).
Annualized quarterly change in inflation-adjusted output of the whole economy.
The broadest scoreboard of the economy. The Advance estimate hits first and moves markets most; revisions rarely do.
Usual market effect. Actual above forecast is typically good for the dollar.
| Release | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2026 2026-09-30 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | Bearish |
| Sep 2026 2026-09-29 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | Bearish |
| Aug 2026 2026-08-26 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | In line |
| Jul 2026 2026-07-30 | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | Bullish |
| Jul 2026 2026-07-29 | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | Bullish |
| Jun 2026 2026-06-25 | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | Bearish |
| May 2026 2026-05-28 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | Bullish |
| Apr 2026 2026-04-30 | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | Bullish |
| Apr 2026 2026-04-09 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 4.4% | Bullish |
| Feb 2026 2026-02-20 | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | Bullish |
| Jan 2026 2026-01-22 | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | Bearish |
| Dec 2025 2025-12-23 | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | Bearish |
| Sep 2025 2025-09-25 | 3.8% | 3.3% | -0.5% | Bearish |
| Aug 2025 2025-08-28 | 3.3% | 3.0% | -0.5% | Bearish |
| Jul 2025 2025-07-30 | 3.0% | 2.5% | -0.5% | Bearish |
| Jun 2025 2025-06-26 | -0.5% | -0.2% | 2.4% | Bullish |
| May 2025 2025-05-29 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 2.4% | Bearish |
| Apr 2025 2025-04-30 | -0.3% | 0.2% | 2.4% | Bullish |
| Mar 2025 2025-03-27 | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | Bearish |
| Feb 2025 2025-02-27 | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | In line |
| Jan 2025 2025-01-30 | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | Bullish |
| Dec 2024 2024-12-19 | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | Bearish |
| Nov 2024 2024-11-27 | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | In line |
| Oct 2024 2024-10-30 | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | Bullish |
“Read” is Tape Desk's own bullish/bearish call on how the surprise usually lands for US stock indexes. It is a rule of thumb, not advice.
Tape Desk puts the US economic calendar next to a live market-moving news tape, so you see the actual the second it prints instead of refreshing a calendar page. High-impact releases fire an alert 15 minutes ahead and again on release.