Change in total receipts at retail stores (nominal).
The consumer is two-thirds of GDP — this is the fastest read on whether they're still spending.
Usual market effect. Actual above forecast is typically good for the dollar.
| Release | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 2026-10-15 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.3% | Bearish |
| Sep 2026 2026-09-16 | 1.2% | 0.8% | -0.5% | Bearish |
| Aug 2026 2026-08-14 | -0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | Bullish |
| Jul 2026 2026-07-16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | In line |
| Jun 2026 2026-06-17 | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | Bearish |
| May 2026 2026-05-14 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | In line |
| Apr 2026 2026-04-21 | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | Bearish |
| Apr 2026 2026-04-01 | 0.6% | 0.5% | -0.1% | Bearish |
| Mar 2026 2026-03-06 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 0.0% | Bearish |
| Feb 2026 2026-02-10 | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | Bullish |
| Jan 2026 2026-01-14 | 0.6% | 0.5% | -0.1% | Bearish |
| Dec 2025 2025-12-16 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | Bullish |
| Dec 2025 2025-12-15 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | Bullish |
| Nov 2025 2025-11-25 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | Bullish |
| Sep 2025 2025-09-16 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | Bearish |
| Aug 2025 2025-08-15 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | Bullish |
| Jul 2025 2025-07-17 | 0.6% | 0.1% | -0.9% | Bearish |
| Jun 2025 2025-06-17 | -0.9% | -0.5% | -0.1% | Bullish |
| May 2025 2025-05-15 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 1.7% | Bearish |
| Apr 2025 2025-04-16 | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | Bearish |
| Mar 2025 2025-03-17 | 0.2% | 0.6% | -1.2% | Bullish |
| Feb 2025 2025-02-14 | -0.9% | -0.2% | 0.7% | Bullish |
| Jan 2025 2025-01-16 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | Bullish |
| Dec 2024 2024-12-17 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | Bearish |
| Nov 2024 2024-11-15 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | Bearish |
“Read” is Tape Desk's own bullish/bearish call on how the surprise usually lands for US stock indexes. It is a rule of thumb, not advice.
Tape Desk puts the US economic calendar next to a live market-moving news tape, so you see the actual the second it prints instead of refreshing a calendar page. High-impact releases fire an alert 15 minutes ahead and again on release.