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US Trade Balance: next release date and history

What it measures

Exports minus imports of goods and services.

Why traders watch it

Feeds GDP calculations; mostly matters during tariff fights.

Usual market effect. Actual above forecast is typically good for the dollar.

Release details

Published by
Bureau of Economic Analysis / Census
Frequency
Monthly
Time zone
All release times shown in US Eastern (ET)
History held
24 releases, Nov 2024 – Oct 2026

Last 24 releases — actual vs forecast

24 releases · oldest → newest-140500000000 … -52800000000
ReleaseActualForecastPreviousRead
Oct 2026 2026-10-06 -105.60B -100.80B -92.80B Bullish
Sep 2026 2026-09-03 -88.60B -89.40B -71.20B Bearish
Aug 2026 2026-08-04 -73.30B -73.00B -77.60B Bullish
Jul 2026 2026-07-07 -77.60B -78.30B -54.60B Bearish
Jun 2026 2026-06-09 -55.90B -56.20B -56.60B Bearish
May 2026 2026-05-05 -60.30B -61.00B -57.80B Bearish
Apr 2026 2026-04-02 -57.30B -60.50B -54.70B Bearish
Mar 2026 2026-03-12 -54.50B -66.60B -72.90B Bearish
Mar 2026 2026-03-11 -54.50B -66.60B -72.90B Bearish
Feb 2026 2026-02-19 -70.30B 55.50B -53.00B Bullish
Jan 2026 2026-01-29 -56.80B -43.40B -29.20B Bullish
Dec 2025 2025-12-11 -52.80B -62.50B -59.30B Bearish
Nov 2025 2025-11-19 -59.60B -61.30B -78.20B Bearish
Sep 2025 2025-09-04 -78.30B -77.70B -59.10B Bullish
Aug 2025 2025-08-05 -60.20B -62.60B -71.70B Bearish
Jul 2025 2025-07-03 -71.50B -69.90B -60.30B Bullish
Jun 2025 2025-06-05 -61.60B -67.60B -138.30B Bearish
May 2025 2025-05-06 -140.50B -136.80B -123.20B Bullish
Apr 2025 2025-04-03 -122.70B -122.50B -130.70B Bullish
Mar 2025 2025-03-06 -131.40B -128.30B -98.10B Bullish
Feb 2025 2025-02-05 -98.40B -96.50B -78.90B Bullish
Jan 2025 2025-01-07 -78.20B -78.30B -73.60B Bearish
Dec 2024 2024-12-05 -73.80B -75.70B -83.80B Bearish
Nov 2024 2024-11-05 -84.40B -83.80B -70.80B Bullish

“Read” is Tape Desk's own bullish/bearish call on how the surprise usually lands for US stock indexes. It is a rule of thumb, not advice.

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Tape Desk puts the US economic calendar next to a live market-moving news tape, so you see the actual the second it prints instead of refreshing a calendar page. High-impact releases fire an alert 15 minutes ahead and again on release.

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