Federal government receipts minus outlays for the month.
Bigger deficits mean more government debt to sell, which pushes on yields.
Usual market effect. Actual above forecast is typically good for the dollar.
| Release | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 2026-10-16 | -27.0B | -34.7B | -167.0B | Bearish |
| Sep 2026 2026-09-11 | -167.0B | -221.1B | -432.0B | Bearish |
| Aug 2026 2026-08-12 | -432.0B | -348.3B | -120.0B | Bullish |
| Jul 2026 2026-07-13 | -120.0B | -135.8B | -293.0B | Bearish |
| Jul 2026 2026-07-12 | -120.0B | -135.8B | -293.0B | Bearish |
| Jun 2026 2026-06-10 | -293.0B | -282.9B | 215.0B | Bullish |
| May 2026 2026-05-12 | 215.0B | 157.2B | -164.0B | Bearish |
| Apr 2026 2026-04-10 | -164.0B | -157.8B | -308.0B | Bullish |
| Mar 2026 2026-03-10 | -308.0B | -304.4B | -95.0B | Bullish |
| Feb 2026 2026-02-11 | -95.0B | -94.6B | -145.0B | Bullish |
| Jan 2026 2026-01-13 | -145.0B | -144.5B | -173.0B | Bullish |
| Dec 2025 2025-12-10 | -173.0B | -186.5B | -284.0B | Bearish |
| Nov 2025 2025-11-25 | -284.0B | -223.4B | 198.0B | Bullish |
| Oct 2025 2025-10-16 | 198.0B | 42.3B | -345.0B | Bearish |
| Sep 2025 2025-09-11 | -345.0B | -305.7B | -291.0B | Bullish |
| Aug 2025 2025-08-12 | -291.0B | -206.7B | 27.0B | Bullish |
| Jul 2025 2025-07-11 | 27.0B | -41.5B | -316.0B | Bearish |
| Jun 2025 2025-06-11 | -316.0B | -314.3B | 258.0B | Bullish |
| May 2025 2025-05-12 | 258.0B | 256.4B | -161.0B | Bearish |
| Apr 2025 2025-04-10 | -161.0B | -115.9B | -307.0B | Bullish |
| Mar 2025 2025-03-12 | -307.0B | -302.5B | -129.0B | Bullish |
| Feb 2025 2025-02-12 | -129.0B | -88.1B | -87.0B | Bullish |
| Jan 2025 2025-01-14 | -87.0B | -80.0B | -367.0B | Bullish |
| Dec 2024 2024-12-11 | -367.0B | -349.0B | -257.0B | Bullish |
| Nov 2024 2024-11-13 | -257.0B | -226.4B | 64.0B | Bullish |
“Read” is Tape Desk's own bullish/bearish call on how the surprise usually lands for US stock indexes. It is a rule of thumb, not advice.
Tape Desk puts the US economic calendar next to a live market-moving news tape, so you see the actual the second it prints instead of refreshing a calendar page. High-impact releases fire an alert 15 minutes ahead and again on release.