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US Empire State Manufacturing Index: next release date and history

What it measures

First regional factory survey of the month (NY state); 0 divides growth from contraction.

Why traders watch it

Early and volatile — the first hint of each month's manufacturing data.

Usual market effect. Actual above forecast is typically good for the dollar.

Release details

Published by
NY Fed
Frequency
Monthly, ~15th
Time zone
All release times shown in US Eastern (ET)
History held
24 releases, Nov 2024 – Oct 2026

Last 24 releases — actual vs forecast

24 releases · oldest → newest-20 … 31.2
ReleaseActualForecastPreviousRead
Oct 2026 2026-10-15 25.50 12.10 7.60 Bearish
Sep 2026 2026-09-15 7.60 14.80 20.60 Bullish
Sep 2026 2026-09-14 7.60 14.80 20.60 Bullish
Aug 2026 2026-08-17 20.60 10.60 15.60 Bearish
Aug 2026 2026-08-16 20.60 10.60 15.60 Bearish
Jul 2026 2026-07-15 15.60 9.30 5.70 Bearish
Jun 2026 2026-06-15 5.70 13.20 19.60 Bullish
May 2026 2026-05-15 19.60 7.30 11.00 Bearish
Apr 2026 2026-04-15 11.00 0.30 -0.20 Bearish
Mar 2026 2026-03-16 -0.20 4.00 7.10 Bullish
Feb 2026 2026-02-17 7.10 6.40 7.70 Bearish
Jan 2026 2026-01-15 7.70 0.80 -3.70 Bearish
Oct 2025 2025-10-15 10.70 -1.80 -8.70 Bearish
Sep 2025 2025-09-15 -8.70 4.30 11.90 Bullish
Aug 2025 2025-08-15 11.90 -1.20 5.50 Bearish
Jul 2025 2025-07-15 5.50 -8.30 -16.00 Bearish
Jun 2025 2025-06-16 -16.00 -5.90 -9.20 Bullish
May 2025 2025-05-15 -9.20 -8.20 -8.10 Bullish
Apr 2025 2025-04-15 -8.10 -12.80 -20.00 Bearish
Mar 2025 2025-03-17 -20.00 -1.90 5.70 Bullish
Feb 2025 2025-02-18 5.70 -1.90 -12.60 Bearish
Jan 2025 2025-01-15 -12.60 2.70 2.10 Bullish
Dec 2024 2024-12-16 0.20 6.40 31.20 Bullish
Nov 2024 2024-11-15 31.20 -0.30 -11.90 Bearish

“Read” is Tape Desk's own bullish/bearish call on how the surprise usually lands for US stock indexes. It is a rule of thumb, not advice.

Watch Empire State Manufacturing Index land live

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