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US Average Hourly Earnings m/m: next release date and history

Also known as Wage Growth.

What it measures

Change in what private employees earn per hour.

Why traders watch it

The wage-inflation channel: hot wage growth keeps rates higher for longer, even when payrolls soften.

Usual market effect. Hotter-than-forecast inflation usually means higher rates — good for the dollar, bad for stocks.

Release details

Published by
Bureau of Labor Statistics
Frequency
Monthly, with NFP
Time zone
All release times shown in US Eastern (ET)
History held
26 releases, Nov 2024 – Oct 2026

Last 26 releases — actual vs forecast

26 releases · oldest → newest0.1 … 3.8
ReleaseActualForecastPreviousRead
Oct 2026 2026-10-02 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% Bullish
Sep 2026 2026-09-04 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% In line
Aug 2026 2026-08-07 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% Bullish
Jul 2026 2026-07-02 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% In line
Jul 2026 2026-07-01 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% In line
Jun 2026 2026-06-05 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% In line
May 2026 2026-05-08 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% Bullish
Apr 2026 2026-04-03 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% Bullish
Mar 2026 2026-03-06 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% Bearish
Feb 2026 2026-02-11 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% Bearish
Jan 2026 2026-01-09 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% In line
Jan 2026 2026-01-08 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% In line
Dec 2025 2025-12-16 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% Bullish
Dec 2025 2025-12-15 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% Bullish
Nov 2025 2025-11-20 3.8% 3.7% 3.8% Bearish
Sep 2025 2025-09-05 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% In line
Aug 2025 2025-08-01 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% In line
Jul 2025 2025-07-03 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% Bullish
Jun 2025 2025-06-06 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% Bearish
May 2025 2025-05-02 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% Bullish
Apr 2025 2025-04-04 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% In line
Mar 2025 2025-03-07 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% In line
Feb 2025 2025-02-07 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% Bearish
Jan 2025 2025-01-10 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% In line
Dec 2024 2024-12-06 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% Bearish
Nov 2024 2024-11-01 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% Bearish

“Read” is Tape Desk's own bullish/bearish call on how the surprise usually lands for US stock indexes. It is a rule of thumb, not advice.

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